Todd thinks that IUPUI has clinched the #1 seed, while Greg Rakestraw is disappointed that VU couldn't beat UMKC and clinch the #1 seed for IUPUI, neither of which was true unless I goofed somewhere.
Anyway...
School W-L Home Away Sweeps Swept By Split
------ --- ---- ---- ------ -------- -----
IUPUI 13-2 8-0 5-2 OU,UMKC,WIU,VU,CC ORU,CSU
ORU 12-3 7-0 5-3 CSU,SUU,OU,UMKC,CC WIU,IUPUI
UMKC 10-5 6-2 4-3 CC,CSU,OU,VU IUPUI,ORU SUU
Valpo 8-7 6-2 2-5 CC IUPUI,UMKC OU,SUU,WIU,CSU
SUU 7-8 5-2 2-6 WIU ORU VU,CSU,CC,UMKC,OU
CSU 7-8 5-2 2-6 CC,WIU ORU,UMKC SUU,VU,IUPUI
OU 6-9 3-5 3-4 WIU IUPUI,ORU,UMKC VU,CC,SUU
WIU 3-12 2-5 1-7 CC OU,IUPUI,VU,SUU,CSU ORU
CC 2-14 1-7 1-7 UMKC,VU,WIU,CSU,ORU SUU,OU
IUPUI
IUPUI has a game left at SUU
ORU has a home game left against VU
UMKC has a game at WIU
VU has a game left at ORU
SUU has a home game left against IUPUI
CSU has a home game left against OU
OU has a game left at CSU
WIU has one home game left against UMKC
CC is done. Stick a fork in 'em, they're done.
Both ORU and IUPUI have clinched at least the #2 seed, so one of them will be #1 and the other #2.
UMKC has clinched the #3 seed.
If IUPUI loses to SUU and ORU beats VU and CSU loses to OU, the following would be the top-half standings (we'll give UMKC a win over WIU as well, since that game literally means nothing)
ORU 13-3 1-1 vs. IUPUI
IUPUI 13-3 1-1 vs. ORU
UMKC 11-5 0-2 vs. IUPUI, 0-2 vs. ORU
SUU 8-8 1-1 vs. IUPUI, 0-2 vs. ORU
VU 8-8 0-2 vs. IUPUI, 1-1 vs. ORU
CSU 7-9 1-1 vs. IUPUI, 0-2 vs. ORU
OU 7-9 0-2 vs. IUPUI, 0-2 vs. ORU
Here we'd have our deadlock again (SUU split with VU), having to sidestep SUU-VU, and look at CSU-OU. Here, it doesn't matter which of those two comes out on top. OU doesn't break the tie, but CSU does, and it would give ORU the #1 seed and IUPUI the #2 seed.
Then SUU would get the 4 seed and VU the 5 seed, CSU the 6 seed and OU the 7th seed, giving us these pairings:
Saturday game 1 - ORU vs. WIU, game 2 - IUPUI vs. OU
Sunday game 3 - SUU vs. VU, game 4 - UMKC vs. CSU
If, on the other hand, CSU beats OU:
ORU 13-3 1-1 vs. IUPUI
IUPUI 13-3 1-1 vs. ORU
UMKC 11-5 0-2 vs. IUPUI, 0-2 vs. ORU
SUU 8-8 1-1 vs. IUPUI, 0-2 vs. ORU
VU 8-8 0-2 vs. IUPUI, 1-1 vs. ORU
CSU 8-8 1-1 vs. IUPUI, 0-2 vs. ORU
Here, SUU is 2-2, VU is 2-2, and CSU is 2-2, so once again we have the dilemma, and we have to skip all 3 and go to OU, who also does not break the tie, having been swept by both IUPUI and ORU. Next is WIU, swept by IUPUI but split with ORU, therefore, IUPUI would get the #1 seed, ORU #2.
With their 0-2 record against IUPUI, VU would be eliminated from the 3 way tie, and end up with the #6 seed, and SUU would play CSU. That gives us:
Saturday game 1 - IUPUI vs. WIU, game 2 - ORU vs. OU
Sunday game 3 - SUU vs. CSU, game 4 - UMKC vs. VU
If VU beats ORU or IUPUI beats SUU, then IUPUI has the #1 seed and ORU has the #2 seed. If the first happens and OU beats CSU:
IUPUI 13-3
ORU 12-4
UMKC 11-5
VU 9-7
SUU 8-8
CSU 7-9
OU 7-9
OU wins the tiebreaker by having swept CSU, so:
Saturday game 1 - IUPUI vs. WIU, game 2 - ORU vs. CSU
Sunday game 3 - VU vs. SUU, game 4 - UMKC vs. OU
If CSU beats OU, then we have:
IUPUI 13-3
ORU 12-4
UMKC 11-5
VU 9-7
SUU 8-8 1-1 vs. IUPUI, 0-2 vs. ORU, 1-1 vs. UMKC
CSU 8-8 1-1 vs. IUPUI, 0-2 vs. ORU, 0-2 vs. UMKC
CSU and SUU split, but SUU split with UMKC while CSU was swept by them, so:
Saturday game 1 - IUPUI vs. WIU, game 2 - ORU vs. OU
Sunday game 3 - VU vs. SUU, game 4 - UMKC vs. CSU
If instead, IUPUI beats SUU and OU beats CSU:
IUPUI 14-2
ORU 13-3
UMKC 11-5
VU 8-8
SUU 7-9
CSU 7-9
OU 7-9
OU is 3-1, SUU is 2-2, CSU is 1-3, so:
Saturday, game 1 - IUPUI vs. WIU, game 2 - ORU vs. CSU
Sunday, game 3 - VU vs. OU, game 4 - UMKC vs. SUU
If CSU beats OU, we have:
IUPUI 14-2
ORU 13-3
UMKC 11-5
VU 8-8 0-2 vs. IUPUI
CSU 8-8 1-1 vs. IUPUI, but who cares?
SUU 7-9
OU 6-10
Saturday, game 1 - IUPUI vs. WIU, game 2 - ORU vs. OU
Sunday, game 3 - VU vs. CSU, game 4 - UMKC vs. SUU
Finally, if VU beats ORU AND SUU beats IUPUI, and OU beats CSU:
IUPUI 13-3
ORU 12-4
UMKC 11-5
VU 9-7
SUU 8-8
CSU 7-9
OU 7-9
IUPUI gets the #1 seed, ORU 2, VU 4, SUU 5.
OU swept CSU, so they get 6 and CSU 7.
Saturday, game 1 - IUPUI vs. WIU, game 2 - ORU vs. CSU
Sunday, game 3 - VU vs. SUU, game 4 - UMKC vs. OU
If CSU beats OU:
IUPUI 13-3
ORU 12-4
UMKC 11-5
VU 9-8
CSU 8-8 1-1 vs. IUPUI, 0-2 vs. ORU, 0-2 vs. UMKC
SUU 8-8 1-1 vs. IUPUI, 0-2 vs. ORU, 1-1 vs. UMKC
OU 6-10
SUU wins the tiebreaker by splitting with UMKC:
Saturday, game 1 - IUPUI vs. WIU, game 2 - ORU vs. OU
Sunday, game 3 - VU vs. SUU, game 4 - UMKC vs. CSU
Let me see if I can summarize all this....
IUPUI: #1 if they beat SUU OR ORU loses to VU OR CSU beats OU. Otherwise #2.
ORU: #1 if they beat VU AND IUPUI loses to SUU AND OU beats CSU. Otherwise #2.
UMKC: #3.
VU: #6 if VU loses to ORU AND SUU beats IUPUI AND CSU loses to OU. Otherwise #4 or #5.
SUU: #6 if they lose to IUPUI. Otherwise #4 or #5.
CSU: #4 or #5 if they beat OU AND ORU beats VU AND IUPUI loses to SUU. #7 if they lose to OU AND SUU loses to IUPUI. Otherwise #6.
OU: #5 if they beat CSU AND SUU loses to IUPUI. #6 if SUU beats IUPUI AND OU beats CSU. Otherwise #7.
WIU: #8
CC: eliminated from tourney field.
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